I’ve started the BBX metrics again in time for the NCAA tourney. I’ll define, refresh, and refine the metrics over the coming weeks. I’m still using the Maui Invitational game between Gonzaga and Michigan State as the BBX base. That game is rated a 1. A game rated a 4 means that the Gonz vs Mich State game was 4 times more exciting. So the higher the BBX, the more of a blowout. Here’s a start using the four games from today.

	Iowa	67
	Weighted Time:	-6385
	Avg Points Lead:	-2.67
	% Game Lead:	18%

	Ohio State	60
	Weighted Time:	+6385
	Avg Points Lead:	+2.67
	% Game Lead:	78%

BBX Index: 4.2

(lower is more exciting)
This game could be considered the most exciting of the day. Even though there were only 7 lead changes, the fact that Iowa came back to win after trailing 78% of the game makes for good drama. However, most of the game Ohio State dominated. If you had checked in during the game prior to the last 5 minutes, there wasn’t much excitement to be had.

	Boston College	76
	Weighted Time:	-7943
	Avg Points Lead:	-3.31
	% Game Lead:	17%

	Duke	78
	Weighted Time:	+7943
	Avg Points Lead:	+3.31
	% Game Lead:	73%

BBX Index: 5.2

Boston College versus Duke was a decisive victory over the span of the entire game. However, you can see two major downturns in their lead. Many of their games I’ve watched this season seem to follow the same pattern–at least with sharp downturns where they lose the lead and have to recover. Today there were 15 lead changes (I’m counting evening up the score a lead change–no leader). If you saw the game today, you know Reddick is the reason for the sharp uptick at the end of the game–and the win. He’s going to have to be on during the tournament. You’d think every team is going to try to shut down J.J.

	South Carolina	47
	Weighted Time:	-16289
	Avg Points Lead:	-6.77
	% Game Lead:	0%

	Florida	49
	Weighted Time:	+16289
	Avg Points Lead:	+6.77
	% Game Lead:	98%

BBX Index: 10.6

The least exciting game of the the day–this one. Only 3 lead changes–and that was Florida going from a tie, to the lead, to a tie, and then the lead for the rest of the game. A low scoring sweep by Florida. The final score doesn’t let on how dominant Florida was.

	Kansas	80
	Weighted Time:	3368
	Avg Points Lead:	1.40
	% Game Lead:	59%

	Texas	68
	Weighted Time:	-3368
	Avg Points Lead:	-1.40
	% Game Lead:	30%

BBX Index: 2.2

This was the closest game of the day. And if you use the final score as a judge of closeness, you’d be way off. There were a whopping 28 lead changes. Kansas didn’t really take control until the last 7 minutes or so. At that point the margin increased beyond recovery.

This entry was posted on Sunday, March 12th, 2006 at 11:15 pm and is filed under General. It is further classified using the following tags BBX, Sports and Statistics. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.